Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.225635 0.314290 0.413820 0.531490 0.664742 0.809200 0.976003
2025-06-29 0.100593 0.205141 0.342321 0.522563 0.743219 0.996843 1.303631
2025-07-06 0.058386 0.167206 0.328051 0.553810 0.842256 1.183625 1.605582
2025-07-13 0.034390 0.143898 0.325390 0.594312 0.949128 1.377856 1.915696
2025-07-20 0.018627 0.124429 0.321820 0.628772 1.044707 1.555646 2.203986
2025-07-27 0.011913 0.119675 0.338764 0.690162 1.174083 1.774331 2.541028
2025-08-03 0.005566 0.108319 0.341794 0.729868 1.273906 1.955803 2.832893
2025-08-10 0.000771 0.087699 0.323812 0.735897 1.327068 2.077825 3.051844
2025-08-17 NaN 0.056036 0.275194 0.689834 1.305903 2.103423 3.150917
2025-08-24 NaN 0.030807 0.227207 0.637661 1.271541 2.108760 3.222249
2025-08-31 NaN 0.018423 0.202319 0.619538 1.282550 2.170765 3.362319
2025-09-07 NaN 0.012830 0.193902 0.628583 1.331978 2.282551 3.564433
2025-09-14 NaN 0.006181 0.174989 0.618697 1.356183 2.365379 3.736391
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001674 0.153475 0.601075 1.367944 2.431785 3.888499
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001181 0.159055 0.636914 1.460895 2.607192 4.179347
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001013 0.168018 0.679823 1.564967 2.797957 4.490267
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000707 0.174212 0.716955 1.660164 2.976808 4.786102
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001240 0.193963 0.782589 1.799773 3.216193 5.159876
2025-10-26 NaN 0.001059 0.202572 0.824989 1.903439 3.406921 5.471442
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000196 0.194247 0.831416 1.951045 3.521427 5.685230
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.161658 0.782249 1.909832 3.513670 5.740925
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.129125 0.726440 1.854639 3.484456 5.767098
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.113496 0.707021 1.856292 3.532518 5.892276